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Wednesday, November 01, 2006

Favorites?

Why is LSU a two-point favorite over Tennessee? Yes, UT quarterback Erik Ainge is illing because of a sprained ankle, but he will be fine by game time. And he's not going to be doing any running.
Tennessee has the best pass offense in the SEC with 288 yards a game. That's 32 yards better a game than the No. 2 passing offense, which is LSU's attack.
Tennessee is No. 11 in the BCS and No. 8 in the Associated Press and USA Today polls. LSU is No. 17 in the BCS and No. 13 in the two polls.
Tennessee has quality wins over California, which is No. 10 in the BCS, Georgia, Alabama and South Carolina. LSU's best win is over Louisiana-Lafayette.
The game is at Neyland Stadium, which is one of the largest stadiums in the nation and the loudest in the SEC.
Tennessee's only loss is by one point to a very good Florida team, which is No. 4 in the BCS. LSU's two losses are at Auburn and at Florida, and neither of those teams is now as good as Tennessee. Stadiums at Auburn and at Florida are also not as intimidating as Neyland, so how is LSU going to win this game? Why is LSU suddenly going to play better than it did at Auburn and at Florida? Its offense put up 13 points in those two games. What makes anyone think it will do better in this game? Tennessee's defense is not great, but then neither was Auburn's.
LSU could win this game. It has the talent to win it. It will be a close game, but I don't see LSU winning.
Prediction: Tennessee 17, LSU 13.
-end-

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